The infection rate for the Ebola outbreak is exponential, with infected numbers doubling approximately every two weeks, and is now in the order of thousands. This is terrifying.

We seem to have largely ignored this as an African problem so far, which could be a big mistake. That it is continuing to grow exponentially is very worrying because exponential functions get very big very fast. Although 4000 people seems like a drop in the ocean right now, and it is, by the time the numbers get worrying in an absolute sense it will be far far far too late to do anything about it because it will be growing far too rapidly. It’s not the number of infections that is the worry, it’s the rate at which it is infecting new people. If we can’t slow it down when there are 4000 carriers, we sure as heck aren’t going to be able to slow it down when there are 8000, 16000, 32000 …


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